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Anticipated Rise in Shares for Local Banking Institutions for Investors

Banking sector valuations may soar to unprecedented heights in 2011, according to predictions. An increase in liquidity will supply a foundation, while the potential for expanded return on equity (ROE) could further boost stock prices. Citigroup Investment Research and Analysis (CIRA) has...

Anticipated Rise in Shares of Domestic Banking Institutions for Investors
Anticipated Rise in Shares of Domestic Banking Institutions for Investors

Anticipated Rise in Shares for Local Banking Institutions for Investors

The Malaysian government's Economic Transformation Programme (ETP), launched in 2010, aimed to propel the country into high-income status by stimulating targeted sectors and encouraging private investment. While the ETP's specific macroeconomic projections for the banking sector have not been extensively discussed in recent global financial assessments, insights from World Bank and regulatory assessments offer a clear picture of the broader trajectory.

**Expanded Financial Inclusion and Technological Advancements**

By 2011 and beyond, Malaysia made significant progress in expanding access to basic bank accounts and credit for small and medium enterprises (SMEs), a core goal of the ETP. The transformation also encouraged banks to move beyond traditional brick-and-mortar branches, adopting mobile banking and leveraging third-party agents, such as retailers, to broaden financial inclusion and drive operational efficiencies.

The transformation of the retail payments landscape was expected to continue, with greater reliance on digital channels reducing costs and increasing reach, especially to rural and underserved populations.

**Strengthened Regulatory Framework and Risk Management**

The ETP's broader reforms included efforts to enhance regulatory frameworks, such as improving compliance with international standards for anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT). This emphasis on robust AML/CFT programs helped protect the reputation and stability of banks, addressing risks such as money laundering and terrorist financing, which could otherwise destabilize the sector.

**Long-Term Growth and Stability**

The ETP's focus on investment and sectoral development was expected to generate new business opportunities for banks, particularly in financing infrastructure and key economic projects. The transformation drove innovation in banking services, particularly through digital and agent banking, making the sector more adaptable and competitive.

**Summary**

The table below summarises the projected impacts of the ETP on Malaysia's banking sector from 2011 onwards:

| Area | Projected Impact (2011 and Beyond) | |-----------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------| | Financial Inclusion | Increased access and usage, especially via technology | | Technological Advancement | Growth in mobile/agent banking and digital payments | | Regulatory Framework | Strengthened compliance in AML/CFT and risk management| | Sectoral Stability | Healthy NPLs, with resilience to external shocks | | Economic Growth Support | Financing for infrastructure and key economic sectors | | Innovation | New digital services and business models |

**Conclusion**

The Economic Transformation Programme's projected impact on Malaysia's banking sector from 2011 onwards included significant advancements in financial inclusion, increased use of technology-driven banking services, strengthened regulatory compliance, and improved sectoral stability. These changes positioned the banking sector as a key enabler of Malaysia's broader economic ambitions.

Investing in the banking sector of Malaysia, as a result of the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP), offers potential for growth and stability due to the increased financial inclusion, advancements in technological banking services, strengthened regulatory compliance, and support for economic growth through financing of infrastructure and key economic sectors.

The transformation of the banking sector, facilitated by the ETP, also provides opportunities for businesses, as private enterprises can leverage the expanded financial services and technological advancements to drive innovation and operational efficiencies.

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