Historic Gains of 630% and 54% for XRP's MVRV Ratio Lead to Golden Cross Resurgence
XRP's MVRV Golden Cross Signal Sparks Optimism Among Traders
The latest MVRV golden cross signal in XRP, a rare on-chain event that has historically preceded significant price rallies, is generating buzz among traders and analysts. This signal occurs when the short-term Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio crosses above the long-term MVRV, indicating long-term holders are entering stronger profit positions relative to short-term holders, suggesting bullish momentum and accumulation.
The MVRV golden cross has been a consistent precursor to significant XRP price rallies historically. In November 2024, after the golden cross appeared, XRP’s price ultimately soared by around 630%, moving through key psychological price levels such as $2 and $3. Another golden cross in early July 2025 triggered a more modest but still substantial rally of about 54%, pushing XRP prices from roughly $2 to a peak of around $3.66 by mid-July.
The MVRV golden cross has re-emerged multiple times through 2025, reinforcing growing market optimism. Significant accumulation, particularly by whales who accumulated roughly 2.2 billion tokens valued at over $7 billion during the July 2025 signal, has accompanied these signals.
Market analysts, such as Ali Martinez, have repeatedly highlighted the signal’s potential, suggesting that, if history repeats, XRP could experience a substantial breakout, with some predictions suggesting a rally up to $5 or potentially as high as $22 based on prior percentage gains.
The rally optimism is further supported by fundamental events such as the resolution of XRP’s legal battle with the SEC, which broadly increased trading volume and market interest, aligning well with the MVRV signal and contributing to the bullish sentiment.
However, it's important to note that while the MVRV golden cross has been a reliable indicator in the past, there is no formal, peer-reviewed research conclusively validating its reliability in all market conditions. Market participants should consider broader contexts including legal and macroeconomic factors alongside these technical signals.
The MVRV golden cross signal is marked by circled intersections on the chart. The MVRV ratio line, represented by an orange line, has once again crossed above its long-term average, a phenomenon known as a golden cross. The MVRV ratio is a measure used to monitor investor profitability in XRP, while the XRP price is represented by a black line, and the 200-day moving average by a red line.
As XRP's price is already showing signs of upward momentum, the MVRV golden cross signal could attract new buying interest. However, the core question remains whether XRP's latest MVRV golden cross will lead to another triple-digit surge or if market dynamics will produce a different result this time. Traders will be watching closely to see whether this crossover leads to similar percentage increases as recorded in previous cycles.
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Cryptocurrency investors are observing a significant event in XRP's market, the MVRV golden cross, which historically has preceded substantial price increases. This bullish event could potentially exceed earlier rallies, with some analysts predicting XRP's price might reach up to $5 or even $22.
The emergence of this MVRV golden cross, along with increased accumulation by whales and the resolution of the SEC legal battle, is generating optimism in the finance community, with traders closely monitoring the cryptocurrency's price to see if it will mimic previous price surges.
